Mirandela vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VSC
4 - 1
MIR
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 2
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MER
0 - 0
MIR
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 2
PED
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 1
VSC
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 2
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 2
FAF
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 1
FEL
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |