Milsami Orhei vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
3º
3º
6
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 10 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 10 |
2º
|
3% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 9 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 9 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 8 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 6 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 3 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 2
SHF
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SHF
0 - 0
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 3
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MIL
5 - 0
ZAR
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
ZIM
3 - 1
ZAR
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SHF
1 - 0
ZIM
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PET
0 - 3
ZIM
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ZIM
6 - 0
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
ZIM
1 - 2
SHF
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |