Millwall vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SHE
2 - 0
MIL
40%
26%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 0
MIL
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 3
MIL
33%
25%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 0
BCF
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TOT
6 - 0
MIL
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 2
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
OXF
2 - 1
SCU
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
SCU
2 - 1
ROC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GIL
3 - 2
SCU
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
SCU
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |