Millwall vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 1
COV
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
WIG
2 - 0
MIL
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 1
LEE
31%
27%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BHA
1 - 0
MIL
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIL
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
SUN
5 - 1
PLY
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
PLY
5 - 1
BHA
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
DER
1 - 0
PLY
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
PLY
3 - 0
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
PLY
3 - 0
SHE
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |