Millonarios vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
5 - 1
TFC
82%
14%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
MIL
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
EQU
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 0
TIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 2
AME
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 2
TIJ
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TIJ
2 - 0
PAC
44%
28%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 2
TIJ
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |