Millonarios vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
5 - 2
MIL
22%
24%
53%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
TFC
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
EQU
0 - 1
MIL
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
60%
20%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAL
29%
26%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |