Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 2
MIL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
AGU
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
MIL
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 2
MIL
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 0
CHI
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 0
AGU
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 3
JUN
32%
29%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 1
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
JUN
18%
28%
55%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |