Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 1
MIL
23%
28%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
TFC
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 2
MIL
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ONC
0 - 0
JUN
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
JUN
3 - 3
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
JUN
20%
28%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SFE
3 - 2
JUN
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |