Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
RMA
8 - 0
MIL
94%
5%
1%
|
79 | 97 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 2
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 1
SFE
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
JUN
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
JUN
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUN
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 3
PAS
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |