Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIL
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
QUI
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ENV
0 - 0
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ENV
0 - 0
CAL
29%
28%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
ENV
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 1
ONC
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |