Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 1
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 0
AME
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 2
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 1
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PER
4 - 0
ENV
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 2
ENV
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |