Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIL
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 2
MIL
27%
28%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 1
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 1
EQU
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
PER
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |