Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
MIL
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
MIL
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
MIL
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
PAT
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 2
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
TOL
20%
25%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
FOR
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |