Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
MIL
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 2
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
3 - 3
MIL
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 2
IND
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
EQU
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
PER
1 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
BAN
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |