Millenium vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 0
VIS
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 0
MIL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
7 - 1
TIE
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
OES
3 - 1
MIL
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 0
RIV
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TIE
0 - 0
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
OES
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |