Millenium vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
GEM
0 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
VER
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
COS
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 2
NAC
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GEM
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |