Milan vs Sampierdarenese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
AND
1 - 2
ACM
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 3
TOR
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 2
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 1
VNZ
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sampierdarenese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 2
BRE
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 3
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
INT
2 - 0
SAM
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
SAM
0 - 2
BOL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |