Milan vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ACM
3 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
ACM
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 2
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
66%
21%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
62%
22%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VVV
0 - 2
AJA
11%
17%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 4
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |