Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
PNE
2 - 3
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MID
2 - 0
BOL
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
SHW
1 - 2
MID
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 1
MID
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 1
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
NTT
0 - 1
SUN
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
SHE
3 - 0
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 1
BIR
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 0
FUL
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |