Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
STO
1 - 0
MID
64%
24%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1987 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
MID
1 - 1
MIL
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
MID
0 - 1
PNE
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
STF
2 - 1
MID
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1987 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
SUN
2 - 3
BAR
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1987 |
MIL
1 - 1
SUN
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
SUN
1 - 0
CRY
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1987 |
SUN
2 - 3
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |