Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
MID
1 - 1
HUR
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
MID
5 - 4
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 1
MID
59%
18%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
SHW
3 - 1
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
SUN
0 - 0
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
BBU
1 - 3
SUN
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
SUN
0 - 2
DER
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
BPO
3 - 1
SUN
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |