Middlesbrough vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1927 |
BPO
2 - 2
MID
44%
23%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1927 |
REA
2 - 1
MID
28%
22%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
MID
3 - 0
GRI
83%
12%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1927 |
POR
3 - 1
MID
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
FUL
0 - 3
MID
22%
23%
56%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1927 |
REA
3 - 0
PNE
48%
22%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1927 |
REA
2 - 0
POR
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1927 |
REA
2 - 1
MID
28%
22%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1927 |
REA
1 - 1
GRI
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
SOU
1 - 1
REA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |