Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
MID
2 - 5
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
FUL
1 - 2
MID
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1955 |
MID
4 - 3
BBU
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
WHU
2 - 1
MID
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1955 |
MID
3 - 1
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
POR
4 - 3
LIV
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
POR
1 - 0
BCF
51%
23%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1955 |
LEE
3 - 0
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
POR
1 - 2
NTT
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1955 |
IPS
1 - 0
POR
64%
19%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |