Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1926 |
MID
2 - 1
MAC
44%
21%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
MAC
3 - 5
MID
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
MID
7 - 1
SWA
66%
17%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
MID
4 - 4
BPO
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
MID
3 - 1
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1926 |
POR
3 - 0
LEY
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
LEY
1 - 2
POR
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1926 |
SWA
2 - 2
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
POR
1 - 1
REA
72%
16%
13%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |