Middlesbrough vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
STO
4 - 0
MID
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1925 |
MID
5 - 1
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
MID
3 - 0
SHW
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1925 |
PNE
1 - 0
MID
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
SWA
4 - 0
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
OLD
3 - 2
PNE
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
SOU
0 - 0
OLD
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1925 |
OLD
7 - 2
STO
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
OLD
4 - 0
FUL
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
OLD
1 - 1
SHW
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |