Middlesbrough vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MID
3 - 0
WOL
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NTT
1 - 2
MID
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
MID
3 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
MKD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SHW
1 - 3
MID
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MKD
1 - 2
LEE
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
LEE
0 - 1
IPS
32%
26%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LEE
1 - 1
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
LEE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LEE
1 - 1
SHW
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |