Middlesbrough vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MID
1 - 1
DER
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MID
0 - 0
ROT
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SHW
1 - 2
MID
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MID
0 - 2
NTT
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
IPS
0 - 2
MID
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CRY
2 - 2
ARS
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EVE
2 - 0
CRY
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CRY
0 - 1
WOL
54%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 1
CRY
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
WBA
0 - 3
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |