Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
FUL
3 - 2
MID
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 1
MID
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MID
5 - 1
TOT
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BIR
3 - 0
MID
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
WHU
1 - 0
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
MUD
44%
22%
34%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SUN
0 - 4
ARS
12%
22%
67%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
ARS
6 - 1
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |