Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 2
MID
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
MID
4 - 1
MAC
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 0
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
MID
5 - 0
LEE
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
ARS
2 - 0
SHW
61%
20%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1931 |
LEE
1 - 2
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
ARS
0 - 0
HUR
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
WHU
2 - 4
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |