Middlesbrough vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.4%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MID
1 - 3
WHU
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 0
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MID
3 - 0
SHW
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
MID
0 - 0
LEI
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
MUD
2 - 1
MID
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
CUM
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 0
STA
41%
27%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 1
LUT
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 2
HAR
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 1
STA
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |