Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
TFC
6 - 2
MET
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
MET
1 - 1
LEN
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
SOC
1 - 0
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
RCR
0 - 2
MET
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
MET
4 - 0
NIC
39%
23%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
LIL
4 - 0
RCR
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
LIL
2 - 5
ASN
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
ASS
2 - 2
LIL
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
LIL
3 - 2
REI
49%
23%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LEN
2 - 1
LIL
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |