Metz vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 1
MET
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
MET
5 - 0
DIJ
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
MET
2 - 0
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
BRE
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
NIO
0 - 0
BAS
33%
28%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
4 - 0
NIO
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
NIO
2 - 0
FCL
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
REI
2 - 3
NIO
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
NIO
0 - 0
IST
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |