Metz II vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
JUR
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MET
1 - 3
ETG
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
OLY
1 - 1
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MET
3 - 1
SPI
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOC
4 - 0
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
RED
1 - 1
VES
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 1
RED
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
RED
2 - 1
RAO
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
RCE
0 - 4
RED
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RED
0 - 0
SAI
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |