Metropolitano vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MET
0 - 2
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MET
2 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FFL
3 - 0
MET
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MET
2 - 2
IMB
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
AVA
5 - 0
HER
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
COT
0 - 1
AVA
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
JEC
3 - 2
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IMB
1 - 0
AVA
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |