Metallurg Oskol vs Rotor Volgograd II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
30
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MET
1 - 4
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
ATO
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
MET
6%
13%
81%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
YEL
0 - 2
MET
8%
14%
78%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
FKK
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Rotor Volgograd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 2
ROT
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
6 - 1
MET
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
ROT
91%
6%
2%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 2
FKS
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
YEL
2 - 1
ROT
30%
22%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |