Mestre vs Vigasio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 4
MES
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
BEL
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 4
MES
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
TAM
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AVI
0 - 1
MES
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vigasio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
VIG
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
VIG
52%
22%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
VIG
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 0
TRI
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UAR
1 - 1
VIG
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |