Mestre vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 3
MES
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
MES
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 2
MES
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
ABA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
VIG
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 4
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ABA
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 2
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TRI
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |