ACR Messina vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 3
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
USV
0 - 1
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MES
3 - 1
ACP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
21%
24%
54%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
LIC
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
CAV
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAV
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 0
GEL
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
USV
4 - 1
CAV
20%
27%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -3 |