ACR Messina vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CAT
0 - 1
MES
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MES
2 - 1
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
FAN
0 - 0
MES
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
VIC
0 - 0
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
REG
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
JUS
2 - 4
SIR
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAT
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
VIC
1 - 2
SIR
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
FAN
2 - 0
SIR
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
SIR
3 - 1
VNZ
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |