ACR Messina vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MES
4 - 1
LIC
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 1
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
ASD
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
MES
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
USV
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
CIT
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LIC
2 - 1
FCS
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
FCS
69%
19%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
AGR
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |