ACR Messina vs Lazio analysis

ACR Messina Lazio
76 ELO 87
3.7% Tilt -11.9%
3479º General ELO ranking 15º
114º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.9%
ACR Messina
26.7%
Draw
47.4%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
ACR Messina
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.4%
Win probability
Lazio
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ACR Messina
+14%
-5%
Lazio

ELO progression

ACR Messina
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2005
LEC
Lecce
1 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
62%
22%
17%
76 80 4 0
19 Feb. 2005
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
16%
24%
60%
76 91 15 0
13 Feb. 2005
SIE
Siena
2 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
50%
27%
23%
75 77 2 +1
06 Feb. 2005
CHI
Chievo
1 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
62%
22%
16%
76 82 6 -1
02 Feb. 2005
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 4
Milan
ACM
18%
28%
54%
76 92 16 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2005
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Parma
PAR
62%
21%
18%
87 85 2 0
20 Feb. 2005
CHI
Chievo
0 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
32%
27%
41%
87 81 6 0
12 Feb. 2005
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
74%
16%
10%
87 78 9 0
06 Feb. 2005
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
87 92 5 0
02 Feb. 2005
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Brescia
BRE
71%
18%
12%
87 81 6 0