ACR Messina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
13.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1990 |
ACM
6 - 0
MES
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
CAG
3 - 0
MES
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1990 |
MES
0 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
TOR
25%
30%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 2
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
PES
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
TOR
2 - 1
FCC
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
58%
26%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
56%
28%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |