ACR Messina vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
VER
2 - 1
MES
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
MES
3 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 2
MES
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
COM
3 - 0
SSS
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
BRE
4 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
COM
2 - 2
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
COM
1 - 0
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
COM
3 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |