Merstham vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CRA
3 - 0
MER
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
KIN
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOW
0 - 1
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LEW
3 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
WOR
6 - 0
WIN
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
WOR
18%
22%
61%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
FOL
57%
21%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 1
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
4 - 0
LEA
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |