Venados FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
CAF
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 0
MER
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
ATL
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
UAT
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 2
ATL
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NEC
4 - 2
CIM
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 3
ZAC
14%
24%
63%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 0
CIM
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
UDG
17%
28%
55%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |