Merelinense vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
PED
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 3
MER
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MER
2 - 0
VFC
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
MER
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
MOR
5%
15%
80%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
5 - 1
AGU
55%
19%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 3
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |