Merelinense vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
MER
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
PED
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 2
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
VIA
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIA
3 - 2
OSL
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 4
VIA
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIA
0 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
VIA
58%
23%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 0
VIA
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |