Merelinense vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 0
MER
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
MER
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
MER
10%
18%
73%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIA
0 - 1
VPE
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIA
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 1
VIA
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIA
0 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIA
0 - 1
GFC
13%
23%
65%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |