Merelinense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 4
MER
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
FEL
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 2
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FAF
2 - 0
PED
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAI
0 - 2
FAF
10%
21%
70%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FAF
3 - 0
OSL
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
FAF
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FAF
4 - 0
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |