Mercadal vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
MER
20%
24%
57%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MER
0 - 2
MNU
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
UDA
78%
16%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
MER
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SDF
2 - 0
PCE
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
SDF
21%
26%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SDF
1 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MNU
3 - 4
SDF
31%
27%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SDF
2 - 2
SRF
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |